The Lee Myung-Bak Government’s North Korea Policy And the Prospects for Inter-Korean Relations
Author: Hong Nack Kim
The inauguration of the Lee Myung-Bak government on February 25, 2008, aroused expectations that President Lee’s new North Korea policy would bring about more effective results in dealing with Pyongyang, including the realization of denuclearization of North Korea. Contrary to initial expectations, Lee’s North Korea policy has encountered unexpected problems and challenges as North Korea has not only suspended official inter-Korean dialogue and contacts since April but also refused to resume the talks with Seoul unless the Lee government would accommodate Pyongyang’s demands: to honor the two interKorean summit agreements: the June 15 Joint Declaration (2000) signed between Kim Dae-Jung and Kim Jong-Il and the October 4 (2007) Declaration signed between Kim Jong-Il and Roh Moo-Hyun; to discard the Lee government’s “Vision 3000: Denuclearization and Openness”; and to abandon the strategy of strengthening South Korea’s alliance with the U.S. and Japan to pressure North Korea.
(Pages 1 – 24)
Evolving Military Responsibilities in the U.S.-ROK Alliance
Author: Bruce Klingner
The U.S.–South Korean security alliance has been indispensable in achieving Washington’s strategic objectives and maintaining peace and stability in northeast Asia. A confluence of developments, however, is forcing changes in the alliance. These factors include a changing threat environment, an evolving U.S. military strategy, and South Korea’s desire for greater autonomy as a result of its improving military and economic capabilities. It is important that the alliance begin the evolution from a singularly focused mission to a more robust values-based relationship that looks beyond the Korean Peninsula.
(Pages 25 – 42)
ROK Military Transformation and ROK-US Security and Maritime Cooperation: MD, PSI and Dokdo Island
Author: Taewoo Kim
In the last decade the ROK-U.S. alliance has soured as the two ideologically slanted predecessor administrations of Kim Dae Jung and Roh Moo Hyun brandished ‘idealist policy experiments’ over issues critical to the alliance. Under the banner of ‘autonomy,’ the Roh administration initiated the 2007 decision to separate operational control (OPCON) and dismantle the Combined Forces Command (CFC) by 2012. The Defense Reform 2020 was a decisive masterpiece to placate the conservative realists critical to the Roh’s leftist experiments. The task of redressing the vestige of distortions belongs to the newly elected Lee Myung Bak, who already began restoration of the bilateral relations since the two summits in 2008, which promised to forge a ‘strategic alliance.’
(Pages 43 – 60)
Inter-Korean Strategic Relations and Security Forum in Northeast Asia
Author: Young Whan Kihl
As an era of the Bush’s controversial foreign policy and security responses to the post-9.11 war on terrorism is drawing to a close, the DPRK nuclear issue is flaring up once again. The stalemate is setting in on both fronts of inter-Korean relations, with the launching of the new Lee Myung-Bak Administration in the South, and on the Six-Party Talks process of the DPRK nuclear disablement. The paper addresses the Bush Administration policy shift away from the hardline posture toward a more pragmatic and diplomatic direction in the twilight of the second term in office, asymmetry of power and stalemate in inter-Korean relations, following vicious anti-Lee Myung-Bak rhetoric of the DPRK, with concerns over the North’s economic stagnation and failed relations with the South.
(Pages 61 – 82)
“MBnomics”: A Review and the Road Ahead
Author: Sung-Hee Jwa
This paper reviews the first six months of MBnomics – its strengths, weaknesses, accomplishments and failures, along with suggestions for improvement. Throughout, the paper stresses the unevenness and lopsided nature of economic development which is viewed as the result of economic resources joining and concentrating towards competent, viable economic entities. Such an evolutionary process not only makes economic activity possible, but also leads to individual agents’ and national economic development. After reviewing Korea’s developmental experience over the past 4 decades, I argue that Korea needs to move away from the egalitarian policies of the past 15 years (the so-called “Egalitarian Trap”) by learning from the earlier decades of high growth and economic development when the flow of resources to economically competent agents and regions was encouraged under highly discriminatory policies.
(Pages 83 – 100)
Inter-Korean Economic Cooperation: The Need for Reciprocity – Does Lopsided Cooperation Continue to Soothe North’s Bluffing Mentality?
Author: Eui-Gak Hwang
This paper examines inter-Korean economic cooperation and trade. It reviews the political background and current status of the idiosyncratic determinants of inter-Korean economic cooperation and trade, followed by its resultant impacts as well as policy suggestions for future directions. Over the last 20 years, inter-Korean trade increased by about 90-fold from 20 million US dollars in 1989 to 1.8 billion US dollars in 2007. Since 1999, in particular, inter-Korean economic cooperation has expanded significantly.
(Pages 101 – 125)
