The Roh Moo Hyun Government’s Policy toward North Korea
Author: Choong Nam Kim
Despite the emergence of a second North Korea nuclear crisis, President Roh Moo Hyun has expanded the sunshine policy that he inherited. As a result, the Roh government has experienced difficulties in managing both its North Korea policy and the U.S.-ROK alliance. The engagement policy is based on the assumption that inter-Korean cooperation will reduce tension on the Korean peninsula and induce change in the North. The policy appears to be reasonable for the long term, but not for the short term, especially for the resolution of immediate and complex issues such as the North Korea nuclear problem.
(Pages 1 – 34)
The Gaeseong Industrial Park and the Future of Inter-Korean Relations
Author: Youn-Suk Kim
Battered by a nearly bankrupted economy and continuous food shortages, North Korea has been cautiously opening its doors to strike economic deals with South Korea in recent years. The closed nature of the North’s economy has resulted in low industrial productivity and efficiency, technological backwardness, and, in the end, economic stagnation. The North is also concerned that with the disparity in economic levels, unification with the South might result in the virtual absorption of the North into the South. Thus, the South’s policy in this regard has been to reassure the North that unity through absorption is neither feasible nor desirable under the current state of military confrontation.
(Pages 35 – 62)
35 The North Korean Economy at a Crossroads: Problems and Prospects
Author: Dick K. Nanto
North Korea stands at a crossroads now that is every bit as momentous as its decision to invade South Korea in 1950. What Kim Jong-il does over the short- and medium-term will put his country either on a path leading to reconciliation with the world and economic and military security or a path leading to a nuclear standoff or military hostilities. As this drama plays out on the world stage, the economy of the Democratic People’s Republic
of Korea plays a critical role. Economic forces play a two-pronged role. Starvation and dismal economic conditions exert pressures on Pyongyang from inside the country, while the prospect of economic assistance and normalized trade and investment relations with other nations provide a powerful incentive for the North Korean leaders to undertake actions that otherwise would be difficult.
(Pages 63 – 86)
63 The ROK-US Alliance During the Bush and Roh Administrations: Differing Perspectives and Their Implications for a Changing Strategic Environment
Author: Bruce E. Bechtol, Jr.
The ROK-US Alliance has been in a state of flux almost since the beginning of the Roh Moo-hyun administration in early 2003. As of the writing of this article, many issues remain up in the air, including the future role of USFK on the Korean Peninsula, the cost of maintaining troops and equipment on the Peninsula (and who will pay for them), the transformation of USFK as a military force, and the move south of both US Army units close to the DMZ and Headquarters USFK in Seoul.
(Pages 87 – 116)
China and Six-Party Talks: The New Turn to Mediation Diplomacy
Author: Samuel S. Kim
During more than a half century of its checkered international life, the People’s Republic of China (PRC) has not been known for self-initiated mediation diplomacy in the world’s trouble spots. Thus, China’s uncharacteristically proactive mediation efforts in the second US-DPRK nuclear standoff, both reflects and affects significant changes in its foreign-policy thinking and behavior. Beijing’s seemingly abrupt policy shift provides a timely case study for examining its changing role in the shaping of a new international order in East Asia in general and on the Korean peninsular in particular.
(Pages 117 – 144)